Update [Wednesday January 13, 2016 at 5 pm AST]

Sub-Tropical Storm Alex has formed in the East Atlantic.  As discussed below, Alex is only the second-known storm to form during the month of January in the 174-year database (1842-present).

Previous Discussion about Alex and Winter Tropical Storm Stats

At 2 pm EST on January 12, the National Hurricane Center raised the probability of tropical cyclone formation within the next 48 hours in the East Atlantic to 50%.  Although this system will not affect the United States, it is certainly very interesting for this time of year.



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